Minah S1: Alpha Forecasting

# Four Methodologies, One Truth: The Evolution of Alpha Prediction When most traders choose a strategy, they pick one: pure technicals, statistical models, or chart patterns. But what if each approach—layered methodically—reveals a different piece of the puzzle? A comprehensive analysis of 31 assets across four progressive forecasting methodologies shows that conviction improves from 45% to 94% when you build the layers correctly. The key finding is simple but profound: each methodology reveals what the others miss. Raw data shows momentum. Math models detect relationships. Manifold learning identifies regime shifts. Institutional trading concepts pinpoint entry precision. Together, they create something more powerful than any single approach. ---